iTunes Popularity – Another way to predict the winner?

armenia_Aram_Mp3

The official Eurovision 2014 album was released across Europe this week. I had a thought, if I looked at the album in each country’s iTunes store, ordered the songs by popularity and then gave Eurovision-style points from 1-12 in the usual way for the top 10 sellers in each store, it might provide some insight into what the final result may be in Copenhagen.  These were the scores:

1 Armenia 136
2 United Kingdom 102
3 Israel 83
3 Sweden 83
5 Germany 57
6 Denmark 49
7 Hungary 48
8 Albania 46
8 Austria 46
10 Spain 39
11 Belarus 31
12 Greece 30
12 Netherlands 30
14 Azerbaijan 24
15 Belgium 23
16 Switzerland 22
16 Ireland 22
18 Norway 21
18 Italy 21
20 Estonia 18
21 Slovenia 17
22 Montenegro 16
23 France 15
24 Ukraine 10
24 Latvia 10
24 Romania 10
27 Finland 9
27 Ireland 9
29 Lithuania 7
30 Portugal 6
30 Poland 6
32 Georgia 4
32 Malta 4

Of course most people coming fresh to the songs will just download the whole album. Those people downloading individual tracks (and thus making them more popular than others) are likely to be hardcore fans who are already well-acquainted with the songs.

It’s just a bit of fun but it does seem to cement Aram MP3’s position as the favourite. The UK’s Molly is hot on his heals, as some other polls have shown. Surprise positions wer Germany in 5th position and Albania in 8th (tied with Austria). I included all those European countries with an iTunes music store, except those where sales weren’t enough to provide any popularity data.

For the full voting table click here.

 

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